Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 48

Severe weather near Ballenger Creek

FrederickUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 00:21 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 99th strongest of the 212 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 8:12PM EDT until June 14 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

An estimated 897,195 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence81%
Coordinates39.3844, -77.4689
Nearest CityBallenger Creek (3 km)
Population Exposed897.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-15T00:12:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e20457b85bb0e3cc76015b16bdcc7795

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescGates, NC; Hertford, NC; Southampton, VA; Sussex, VA; City of Franklin, VA; Lancaster, VA; Northumberland, VA; Richmond, VA; Westmoreland, VA; St. Marys, MD and 12 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued June 14 at 8:12PM EDT until June 14 at 8:15PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-06-14T20:21:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount15
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Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Ballenger Creek (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.